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The Harmattan Index

Real-time national intelligence across six continuously updated indices. Last updated: June 2026

Approval

18

↓ 12%

Cost of Living

85

↑ 8%

Brand Health

62

↓ 3%

Electoral

45

↑ 5%

Policy

38

↓ 5%

Financial

54

↑ 2%

Country Direction Sentiment

"Is Nigeria heading in the right direction?"

Cost of Living Pressure

85%

say transport costs increased significantly post-subsidy removal

Voter Turnout Intent

65%

certain to vote in 2027 elections

Certain (65%) Likely (25%) Unsure (10%)

Electoral Confidence

60%

not at all confident 2027 will be free and fair

Presidential Approval Index

6-month trend · Sample: 1,000 respondents

75%

Strongly Disapprove

7%

Somewhat Disapprove

15%

Strongly Approve

3%

Undecided

Cost of Living Pressure Index

Component breakdown · Higher = more pressure

Sentiment by Geopolitical Zone

% saying Nigeria is heading in wrong direction

2027 Candidate Favourability

Very + Somewhat favourable combined

Top Issues for 2027

Most important issue influencing vote

Policy Impact Assessment

Public approval by policy area

Financial Inclusion Metrics

% of adults with access to financial services

Consumer Brand Health Tracker

Top 5 brands by net favourability score

D

Dangote

78

Net Favourability

M

MTN

72

Net Favourability

G

GTBank

68

Net Favourability

N

Nestlé

65

Net Favourability

J

Jumia

58

Net Favourability

Economic Tracker

The Harmattan Price Index

Base: May 2023 = 100 · Current: 247

Tracking essential commodity prices across Nigeria

Commodity May 2023 Current Price Change % Change
Petrol (per litre) ₦185 ₦720 +₦535 +289%
Rice (50kg bag) ₦35,000 ₦85,000 +₦50,000 +143%
Bread (loaf) ₦800 ₦2,200 +₦1,400 +175%
Beans (1 mudu) ₦1,200 ₦3,200 +₦2,000 +167%
Garri (1 mudu) ₦600 ₦1,800 +₦1,200 +200%
Tomatoes (1 basket) ₦8,000 ₦35,000 +₦27,000 +338%
Chicken (whole) ₦3,500 ₦9,500 +₦6,000 +171%
Cooking Gas (12.5kg) ₦9,000 ₦18,000 +₦9,000 +100%